V-Lab
CBOT Oats GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
41.67%
increased by 4.82%
1 Week
39.74%
increased by 2.89%
1 Month
39.25%
increased by 2.40%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 1999 to Aug 28, 2026Boundary Parameters
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 8.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0946 | 1.46 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0560 | 0.96 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0502 | 0.44 |
Persistence:
0.176
Half-life:
0 days
Other CBOT Oats Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Commodities