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V-Lab

CBOT Oats GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

36.62%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Week

38.49%

increased by 1.02%

1 Month

38.94%

increased by 1.47%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 04:04 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOT Oats GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 1999 to Oct 30, 2026
Boundary Parameters
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
8.93***
αARCH0.0938
1.46
βGARCH0.0567
0.95
γleverage0.0487
0.43

0.175

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
8.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0938
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0567
0.95
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0487
0.43

Persistence:

0.175

Half-life:

0 days