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V-Lab
V-Lab

CBOT Oats GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

40.35%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

39.43%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Month

39.20%

decreased by 1.95%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 04:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOT Oats GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 1999 to Sep 18, 2026
Boundary Parameters
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
8.84***
αARCH0.0936
1.46
βGARCH0.0586
0.96
γleverage0.0497
0.44

0.177

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
8.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0936
1.46
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0586
0.96
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0497
0.44

Persistence:

0.177

Half-life:

0 days