V-Lab
CBOT Oats GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
38.83%
increased by 1.73%
1 Week
39.05%
increased by 1.95%
1 Month
39.10%
increased by 2.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 14, 1999 to Jul 31, 2026σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 35.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0955 | 5.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0562 | 3.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0498 | 1.73* |
Persistence:
0.177
Half-life:
0 days
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