LME/COMEX Aluminum Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 8th, 2026
1 Day
37.59%
decreased by 2.89%
1 Week
39.87%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
47.57%
increased by 7.09%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 6, 2026 at 04:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3098 | 2.32 | |
| 0.2421 | 3.52 | |
| 0.7505 | 12.21 | |
| 0.3383 | 0.21 | |
| -1.2399 | -0.49 | |
| 0.1816 | 0.09 | |
| 5.3955 | 2.80 | |
| -16.8652 | -3.90 | |
| 28.8484 | 2.94 | |
| -25.4109 | -2.83 | |
| 9.8537 | 3.06 | |
| -1.4202 | -1.12 | |
| 1.1440 | 0.72 |
Estimation Period:
May 6, 2014 to Jun 5, 2026
May 6, 2014 to Jun 5, 2026
Other LME/COMEX Aluminum Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on Commodities