V-Lab
S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
14.15%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
14.17%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Month
14.26%
decreased by 0.27%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 106% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 106% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0025 | -0.83 |
| αARCH | 0.0950 | 9.40*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9818 | 328.70*** |
| γleverage | -0.0329 | -3.77*** |
0.982
Persistence38d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0025 | -0.83 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0950 | 9.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9818 | 328.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0329 | -3.77*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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