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S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

14.15%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Week

14.17%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Month

14.26%

decreased by 0.27%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Livestock Spot Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 106% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 106% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0025
-0.83
αARCH0.0950
9.40***
βGARCH0.9818
328.70***
γleverage-0.0329
-3.77***

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0025
-0.83
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0950
9.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9818
328.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0329
-3.77***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days