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V-Lab

ICE Brent Crude Oil EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

65.71%

decreased by 4.15%

1 Week

64.74%

decreased by 5.12%

1 Month

61.47%

decreased by 8.39%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 04:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE Brent Crude Oil EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 30, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 61% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0351
14.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1823
25.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9823
907.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0426
-6.81***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days