V-Lab
ICE Brent Crude Oil EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
65.71%
decreased by 4.15%
1 Week
64.74%
decreased by 5.12%
1 Month
61.47%
decreased by 8.39%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 04:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 30, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 61% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0351 | 14.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1823 | 25.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9823 | 907.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0426 | -6.81*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
Other ICE Brent Crude Oil Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Commodities