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V-Lab
V-Lab

RBOB Gasoline GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

51.15%

decreased by 1.30%

1 Week

50.86%

decreased by 1.59%

1 Month

49.85%

decreased by 2.60%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 04:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RBOB Gasoline GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2000 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.2391
4.65***
αARCH0.1050
6.03***
βGARCH0.8660
45.36***

0.971

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2391
4.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1050
6.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8660
45.36***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days