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V-Lab

RBOB Gasoline GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

53.83%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

53.37%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Month

51.85%

decreased by 2.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RBOB Gasoline GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2423
18.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1015
13.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8642
174.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0091
1.06

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days