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V-Lab

RBOB Gasoline GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

44.71%

decreased by 2.56%

1 Week

44.75%

decreased by 2.52%

1 Month

44.87%

decreased by 2.40%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 05:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RBOB Gasoline GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2000 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2421
18.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1019
13.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8642
174.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0085
0.98

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days