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V-Lab

RBOB Gasoline GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

38.06%

increased by 1.64%

1 Week

38.52%

increased by 2.10%

1 Month

39.99%

increased by 3.57%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RBOB Gasoline GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2429
4.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1013
3.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8642
43.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0093
0.27

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days