S&P GSCI Cocoa Index AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:56.09% (-1.09%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0145 | 12.88 | |
| 0.0351 | 33.17 | |
| 0.9610 | 845.96 | |
| -0.1953 | -4.22 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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