S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 29th, 2026
1 Day
8.08%
decreased by 10.41%
1 Week
8.67%
decreased by 9.82%
1 Month
9.12%
decreased by 9.37%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 12:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,880.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 120.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 7.0150 | 45.26 | |
| 0.3000 | 24.92 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 26, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 26, 2026
Other S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Commodities