S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 8th, 2026
1 Day
40.43%
increased by 24.08%
1 Week
53.38%
increased by 37.03%
1 Month
154.37%
increased by 138.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 11:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7068 | 7,067,550.00 | |
| 0.0432 | 432,450.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0817 | 20.06 | |
| 0.9423 | 78,528.58 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
Other S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Commodities