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V-Lab

Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

51.53%

increased by 1.76%

1 Week

52.59%

increased by 2.82%

1 Month

55.82%

increased by 6.05%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5919
7.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1796
4.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8721
73.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1731
-4.02***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days