Skip to main content
V-Lab

Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

52.36%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Week

53.24%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Month

55.86%

increased by 1.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2024 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1439
1.67*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1636
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9470
37.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1277
2.05**

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days