Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

40.95%

decreased by 2.00%

1 Week

48.48%

increased by 5.53%

1 Month

61.41%

increased by 18.46%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1924
3.60***
αARCH0.4160
3.12***
βGARCH0.5231
6.96***
γleverage-0.0905
-0.41

0.894

Persistence

6d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1924
3.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4160
3.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5231
6.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0905
-0.41

Persistence:

0.894

Half-life:

6 days