Skip to main content
V-Lab

Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

45.68%

increased by 2.55%

1 Week

50.68%

increased by 7.55%

1 Month

56.22%

increased by 13.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily AI and Big Data Bear 2X ETF APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2024 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 0.73 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6371
3.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2601
4.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5484
5.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2358
-1.79*
δ

power

Transformation power

0.7307
4.00***

Persistence:

0.755

Half-life:

2 days