V-Lab: S&P 500 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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S&P 500 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, December 15th, 2025:12.68% (+2.30%)

Analysis last updated: Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 12:57 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	61
$α$	0.0000	0.00
$β$	0.8393	222.52
$γ$	0.1985	44.04
$λ_{1}$	0.0106	5.74
$λ_{2}$	0.0630	4.44
$λ_{3}$	0.9264	58.03

Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Dec 12, 2025

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