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V-Lab

Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

44.06%

decreased by 9.03%

1 Week

44.95%

decreased by 8.14%

1 Month

45.15%

decreased by 7.94%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9132
3.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1448
1.51
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ147.2806
3.08***
γ2-92.1800
-4.39***
γ390.6267
5.67***
γ4-81.5166
-3.88***
γ557.3683
2.66***
γ6-35.8835
-1.92*
γ738.5860
2.48**
γ8-43.6962
-2.98***
γ921.2411
2.05**

Persistence:

0.145

Half-life:

0 days