V-Lab
Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
49.24%
decreased by 3.44%
1 Week
48.49%
decreased by 4.19%
1 Month
46.01%
decreased by 6.67%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0305 | 1.95* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2051 | 8.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9796 | 163.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0411 | 1.41 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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