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V-Lab

Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

49.24%

decreased by 3.44%

1 Week

48.49%

decreased by 4.19%

1 Month

46.01%

decreased by 6.67%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0305
1.95*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2051
8.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9796
163.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0411
1.41

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days