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V-Lab

Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

32.62%

decreased by 1.45%

1 Week

32.25%

decreased by 1.82%

1 Month

31.13%

decreased by 2.94%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1393
3.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2194
9.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7359
38.79***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days