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V-Lab

Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

33.69%

decreased by 2.77%

1 Week

33.78%

decreased by 2.68%

1 Month

34.05%

decreased by 2.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Defiance OIL Enhanced OP ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 57% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1315
8.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3140
12.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7165
39.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1144
-3.24***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

26 days