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V-Lab

Universal Music Group N V MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

26.78%

increased by 0.26%

1 Week

26.99%

increased by 0.47%

1 Month

27.34%

increased by 0.82%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Universal Music Group N V MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 27, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0332
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0136
-0.04
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.4845
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2016
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.026

Half-life:

0 days