V-Lab
Universal Music Group N V MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
26.78%
increased by 0.26%
1 Week
26.99%
increased by 0.47%
1 Month
27.34%
increased by 0.82%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 27, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0332 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0136 | -0.04 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.4845 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2016 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.026
Half-life:
0 days
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