V-Lab
Universal Music Group N V GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
31.25%
increased by 0.15%
1 Week
31.78%
increased by 0.68%
1 Month
31.89%
increased by 0.79%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 27, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.8304 | 25.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0102 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0856 | 1.40 |
Persistence:
0.053
Half-life:
0 days
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