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Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

26.51%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Week

26.19%

decreased by 1.22%

1 Month

25.06%

decreased by 2.35%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2011 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0371
4.30***
αARCH0.0194
1.51
βGARCH0.8632
60.55***
γleverage0.1833
5.13***

0.974

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0371
4.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0194
1.51
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8632
60.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1833
5.13***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

27 days