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V-Lab

Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

13.70%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

14.02%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

15.05%

increased by 1.14%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2011 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0375
4.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1325
7.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8415
45.29***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days