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Malaysian Ringgit Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

6.46%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

6.46%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Month

6.43%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Malaysian Ringgit S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2005 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6040
3.81***
αARCH0.0971
8.22***
βGARCH0.8861
73.15***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.0380
-2.52**
γ20.0329
1.46
γ30.0233
1.68*
γ4-0.0263
-2.92***

0.983

Persistence

41d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6040
3.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0971
8.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8861
73.15***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.0380
-2.52**
γ20.0329
1.46
γ30.0233
1.68*
γ4-0.0263
-2.92***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days