Deutsche Bank FX Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

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Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.0555	7.33***
αARCH	0.0353	6.36***
βGARCH	0.9576	159.47***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.0555	7.33***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0353	6.36***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9576	159.47***

V-Lab

Australian Dollar Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Australian Dollar Analyses