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Danish Krone Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

4.21%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

4.23%

decreased by 0.02%

1 Month

4.31%

increased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC

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graph of Danish Krone S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 278 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~278 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0018
7.73***
αARCH0.0256
8.91***
βGARCH0.9719
306.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0001
0.54

0.998

Persistence

278d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0018
7.73***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0256
8.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9719
306.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0001
0.54

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

278 days