V-Lab
Danish Krone Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026
1 Day
3.96%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
3.98%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
4.06%
increased by 0.06%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 03:44 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 278 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~278 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0033 | 7.74*** |
| αARCH | 0.0257 | 8.91*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9718 | 305.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0001 | 0.55 |
0.998
Persistence278d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0033 | 7.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0257 | 8.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9718 | 305.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0001 | 0.55 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
278 days
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