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V-Lab

Danish Krone MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

0.92%

decreased by 3.36%

1 Week

0.69%

decreased by 3.59%

1 Month

0.39%

decreased by 3.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Danish Krone MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.9310
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1380
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1887
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0173
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6863

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days