Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Hungarian Forint MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

9.74%

increased by 0.09%

1 Week

10.00%

increased by 0.35%

1 Month

10.31%

increased by 0.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hungarian Forint MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0904
4.46***
βGARCH0.1087
0.95
γleverage-0.0156
-0.58
λ₁tau intercept0.0716
4.81***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8422
6.29***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.191

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0904
4.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1087
0.95
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0156
-0.58
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0716
4.81***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8422
6.29***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.191

Half-life:

0 days