Japanese Yen MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 4th, 2026
1 Day
9.96%
increased by 1.26%
1 Week
10.76%
increased by 2.06%
1 Month
15.12%
increased by 6.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 1, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0322 | 7.23 | |
| 0.9542 | 32.44 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 1, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 1, 2026
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