Canadian Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 4th, 2026
1 Day
0.04%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
0.05%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Month
0.07%
decreased by 0.53%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 1, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.1015 | 1,014,760.00 | |
| 0.0459 | 459,090.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 1, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 1, 2026
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