Canadian Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
8.44%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
12.21%
increased by 3.50%
1 Month
18.09%
increased by 9.38%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 8.00 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.1336 | 0.44 |
| αARCH | 0.6813 | 0.03 |
| βGARCH | 0.9086 | 1.06 |
| νDF | 7.9990 | 5.50*** |
0.909
Persistence7d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1336 | 0.44 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6813 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9086 | 1.06 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 7.9990 | 5.50*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
Other Canadian Dollar Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Currencies