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Canadian Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

8.61%

increased by 1.38%

1 Week

12.31%

increased by 5.08%

1 Month

18.12%

increased by 10.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Canadian Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 8.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1323
0.03
αARCH0.6812
0.00
βGARCH0.9085
0.22
νDF7.9990
0.34

0.908

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1323
0.03
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6812
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9085
0.22
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.9990
0.34

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days