Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Canadian Dollar GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

8.44%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

12.21%

increased by 3.50%

1 Month

18.09%

increased by 9.38%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Canadian Dollar GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 8.00 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1336
0.44
αARCH0.6813
0.03
βGARCH0.9086
1.06
νDF7.9990
5.50***

0.909

Persistence

7d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1336
0.44
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6813
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9086
1.06
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.9990
5.50***

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days