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US Dollar to British Pound GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

23.51%

increased by 3.58%

1 Week

23.33%

increased by 3.40%

1 Month

23.30%

increased by 3.37%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to British Pound GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.05 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.05 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1527
13.44***
αARCH0.1510
10.11***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
νDF2.0508
60.41***

0.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1527
13.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1510
10.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0508
60.41***

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

-