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US Dollar to Mexican Peso GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

27,653.22%

decreased by 2,579.49%

1 Week

27,625.58%

decreased by 2,607.13%

1 Month

27,515.48%

decreased by 2,717.23%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Mexican Peso GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Jul 26, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8508
23.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0649
202.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days