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US Dollar to Mexican Peso GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

29,816.62%

decreased by 498.48%

1 Week

29,786.81%

decreased by 528.29%

1 Month

29,668.10%

decreased by 647.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Mexican Peso GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Jul 20, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8505
23.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0653
203.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days