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US Dollar to Indian Rupee GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

30.54%

increased by 2.64%

1 Week

30.52%

increased by 2.62%

1 Month

30.43%

increased by 2.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Indian Rupee GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0806
2.16**
αARCH0.0542
45.93***
βGARCH0.9990
2,085.59***
νDF2.0057

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0806
2.16**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0542
45.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
2,085.59***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0057

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days