Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

US Dollar to Indian Rupee GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

42.36%

decreased by 3.19%

1 Week

42.32%

decreased by 3.23%

1 Month

42.17%

decreased by 3.38%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 03:09 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/18/2024

to

10/18/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Indian Rupee GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9713
2.16**
αARCH0.0542
45.98***
βGARCH0.9990
2,089.96***
νDF2.0064

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9713
2.16**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0542
45.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
2,089.96***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0064

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days