Skip to main content
V-Lab

US Dollar to Indian Rupee MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

3.65%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

4.01%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

5.04%

increased by 1.27%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 01:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Indian Rupee MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 30, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 142% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1645
29.93***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8225
147.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0965
-18.51***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0002
7.29***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9795
56.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0205
6.40***

Persistence:

0.939

Half-life:

11 days