US Dollar to Canadian Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
-0.00%
decreased by 2.30%
1 Week
0.18%
decreased by 2.12%
1 Month
0.11%
decreased by 2.19%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, June 14, 2026 at 01:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | ||
| 0.7500 | 7,499,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 10.0000 | 100,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0382 | 381,950.00 | |
| 0.4323 | 4,323,070.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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