US Dollar to South African Rand MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 29th, 2026
1 Day
8.99%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
14.46%
increased by 4.66%
1 Month
41.71%
increased by 31.91%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 28, 2026 at 07:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.6926 | 6,926,040.00 | |
| 0.0574 | 573,960.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.1665 | 33.23 | |
| 0.5721 | 33.05 | |
| 0.1845 | 6.74 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to May 22, 2026
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