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Malaysian Ringgit MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

1.06%

increased by 0.01%

1 Week

1.22%

increased by 0.17%

1 Month

1.51%

increased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Malaysian Ringgit MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.1079
5.94***
βGARCH0.6828
19.07***
γleverage0.0255
0.95
λ₁tau intercept0.0011
2.60***
λ₂forecast adj.1.0000
26.80***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.804

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1079
5.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6828
19.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0255
0.95
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0011
2.60***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
26.80***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.804

Half-life:

3 days