V-Lab
Malaysian Ringgit GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
5.61%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Week
5.64%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
5.75%
decreased by 0.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2005 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 199 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~199 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0011 | 5.17*** |
| αARCH | 0.0889 | 9.17*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9076 | 104.58*** |
0.997
Persistence199d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0011 | 5.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0889 | 9.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9076 | 104.58*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
199 days
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