Russian Ruble GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, May 18th, 2026
1 Day
11.77%
increased by 1.01%
1 Week
11.82%
increased by 1.06%
1 Month
12.03%
increased by 1.27%
Analysis last updated: Friday, May 15, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0024 | 20.19 | |
| 0.0768 | 34.46 | |
| 0.9232 | 419.63 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 2000 to May 15, 2026
Jan 1, 2000 to May 15, 2026
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