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V-Lab

Australian Dollar GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

6.30%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

6.35%

increased by 0.02%

1 Month

6.54%

increased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Australian Dollar GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0025
18.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0348
25.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9576
639.68***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

91 days