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V-Lab

Mexican Peso GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

10.13%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

10.16%

decreased by 0.38%

1 Month

10.29%

decreased by 0.25%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mexican Peso GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 1995 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 52-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0068
6.44***
αARCH0.1253
8.56***
βGARCH0.8613
66.16***

0.987

Persistence

52d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0068
6.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
8.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8613
66.16***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days