V-Lab
Mexican Peso GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
10.13%
decreased by 0.41%
1 Week
10.16%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
10.29%
decreased by 0.25%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 31, 1995 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 52-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0068 | 6.44*** |
| αARCH | 0.1253 | 8.56*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8613 | 66.16*** |
0.987
Persistence52d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0068 | 6.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1253 | 8.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8613 | 66.16*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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