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V-Lab

Mexican Peso EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

4.39%

decreased by 0.12%

1 Week

4.64%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

5.64%

increased by 1.13%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Mexican Peso EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 151% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0246
-16.82***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2055
40.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9682
802.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0884
19.36***

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days