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V-Lab

Czech Koruna EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

5.11%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

5.19%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

5.53%

increased by 0.39%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Czech Koruna EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 19, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 100 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0007
1.31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0905
24.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9931
1,686.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0018
0.99

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

100 days