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V-Lab
V-Lab

Czech Koruna EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

4.88%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

4.96%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Month

5.30%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 01:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Czech Koruna EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 19, 1993 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 101 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~101 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0007
0.35
αARCH0.0903
6.07***
βGARCH0.9931
424.60***
γleverage0.0019
0.26

0.993

Persistence

101d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0007
0.35
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0903
6.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9931
424.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0019
0.26

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

101 days