V-Lab
US Dollar to Gold Troy Ounce EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
17.57%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
17.57%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Month
17.57%
decreased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 27, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0052 | 3.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0984 | 8.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9744 | 215.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0137 | -1.53 |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
27 days
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