Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Indonesian Rupiah EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

6.68%

increased by 0.19%

1 Week

6.93%

increased by 0.44%

1 Month

7.96%

increased by 1.47%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Indonesian Rupiah EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 1998 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0096
1.09
αARCH0.2262
8.74***
βGARCH0.9844
213.16***
γleverage0.0166
0.68

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0096
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2262
8.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9844
213.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0166
0.68

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days