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V-Lab

Indonesian Rupiah EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

5.69%

increased by 0.69%

1 Week

5.93%

increased by 0.93%

1 Month

6.96%

increased by 1.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Indonesian Rupiah EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 1998 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0097
1.09
αARCH0.2264
8.74***
βGARCH0.9844
212.65***
γleverage0.0164
0.67

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0097
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2264
8.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9844
212.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0164
0.67

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days