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Bitcoin to US Dollar EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

36.79%

decreased by 3.00%

1 Week

40.03%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

52.03%

increased by 12.24%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bitcoin to US Dollar EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 2010 to Sep 12, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1672
5.18***
αARCH0.3078
7.41***
βGARCH0.9514
91.89***
γleverage-0.0096
-0.27

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1672
5.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3078
7.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9514
91.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0096
-0.27

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days