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V-Lab

Moroccan Dirham EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

5.25%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

5.30%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

5.47%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 01:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Moroccan Dirham EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 394 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0042
9.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0464
16.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9982
4,496.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0056
1.63

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

394 days