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V-Lab

Moroccan Dirham EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

6.66%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

6.71%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

6.91%

increased by 0.27%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Moroccan Dirham EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 391 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~391 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0042
2.40**
αARCH0.0465
4.11***
βGARCH0.9982
1,119.09***
γleverage0.0057
0.41

0.998

Persistence

391d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0042
2.40**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0465
4.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9982
1,119.09***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0057
0.41

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

391 days