V-Lab
US Dollar to Malaysian Ringgit EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026
1 Day
3.47%
increased by 0.71%
1 Week
3.66%
increased by 0.90%
1 Month
4.41%
increased by 1.65%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0333 | -2.05** |
| αARCH | 0.3187 | 5.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9716 | 105.41*** |
| γleverage | 0.0026 | 0.13 |
0.972
Persistence24d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0333 | -2.05** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3187 | 5.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9716 | 105.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0026 | 0.13 |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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