V-Lab
Malaysian Ringgit EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
3.59%
increased by 0.16%
1 Week
3.71%
increased by 0.28%
1 Month
4.20%
increased by 0.77%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2005 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 38-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0208 | -2.56** |
| αARCH | 0.1803 | 10.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9817 | 276.62*** |
| γleverage | -0.0065 | -0.45 |
0.982
Persistence38d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0208 | -2.56** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1803 | 10.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9817 | 276.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0065 | -0.45 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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