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V-Lab

US Dollar to Chinese Renminbi EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

1.43%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

1.46%

increased by 0.00%

1 Month

1.60%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of US Dollar to Chinese Renminbi EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 14, 2005 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 218 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 56% more than negative returns

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0069
4.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0916
19.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9968
1,812.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0201
4.21***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

218 days