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V-Lab

South Korean Won EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

8.28%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Week

8.36%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

8.70%

increased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of South Korean Won EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 35% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0035
-3.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1260
30.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9892
1,688.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0188
6.06***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days